From the Archives | Iran’s Four Tactics To Deter Threats At Sea

may14 iran

By Frzand Sherko 

14 minutes

This article was orginally published in Volume 68, Issue 1, in January 2024.

Arguably, the Commander-in-Chief of the Iranian armed forces  relies on four pillars to deter their enemies at sea: implementing asymmetric  warfare tactics; improving Iran’s naval capabilities at the tactical and  strategic levels; using naval proxy forces, and building regional and global naval alliances. The author evaluates these pillars and contends that it is  time for the United States to consider building an Arab naval alliance in the  Persian Gulf.

Iran’s current naval forces are influenced by four key factors from its  past: the Persian Empire, Shia Islam, the Iran-Iraq War, and the  necessity to counter the United States’ desire for regime change in Tehran. [1] US naval forces off the southern coast only add to Iran’s strategic fears. These interconnected threads have shaped the Islamic Republic of  Iran’s national policy and defense strategy.  

Throughout history, since (500 BCE), different Persian empires have  approached naval power in different ways. The Achaemenid Dynasty (550– 330 BCE) utilized naval power to expand its empire, while the lack of a navy  contributed to the collapse of Sassanian Persia in the face of an Arabian  Islamic invasion. In modern times, the Islamic Republic of Iran’s navy  serves two purposes: to shift the battleground of the war with Iraq (1980-88) and to balance the deterring force of the US Navy in the Persian Gulf,  the Strait of Hormuz, and the Arabian Sea since 9/11.

Iran is a continental state despite its potential for maritime power due  to its location. Iran has a vast coastline of 1864 Mile, surrounded by the sea  to the north and south. [2] This geographical location presents both strategic  opportunities and existential threats to Iran. The Caspian Sea in the north, a  wealthy sea shared by five countries, has been entrusted to the Islamic Republic of Iran Navy. [3] The southern coastline of Iran overlooks the Persian  Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Sea of Oman. The Sea of Oman is Iran’s  link to the Blue Seas and provides it with maritime diplomatic opportunities  that are represented by the Islamic Republic of Iran Navy. Furthermore, the  Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz are considered to be within the  boundaries of Rimland theory, which is crucial to both Iran and US security.  According to political scientist Nicholas Spykman, “Who controls the  Rimland rules Eurasia, who rules Eurasia controls the destinies of the  world.”[4] This makes the Strait of Hormuz a conflict zone between the two  countries. Iran focuses on the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for 40 percent of the world’s energy and a conflict zone where Persians and Arabs, Shiites  and Sunnis clash. [5] The “revolutionary regime” sees the United States as an  existential threat and is responding by countering its sea presence.[6] The Iranian Commander-in-Chief oversees nine naval command  bases, including five Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN)  bases and four army naval bases, the Islamic Republic of Iran Navy (IRIN). These bases are situated along the Gulf of Oman, the Strait of Hormuz, and  the Persian Gulf, stretching from Mahshahr Port to Chabahar Port.[7] The  conventional IRIN forces are the larger musical instruments in this naval  symphony. In comparison, the IRGCN utilize smaller naval instruments to  serve as insurgency forces in Iran’s deterrence strategy. 

IRIN + IRGCN 

Iran’s governing system involves the use of parallel institutions.  Despite having both a leader of the Islamic Revolution and a president of  the republic, there are also two intelligence agencies—the government affiliated Ministry of Intelligence and Organization of Intelligence of the  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which reports to the leader of the  Islamic Revolution. Iran has a Ministry of Foreign Affairs parallel to it, the  Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force, which also handles foreign affairs with  other countries and non-state actors. From this unique standpoint for  governing the ideological state, two separate naval forces operate under the  Tehran regime: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy and the  Islamic Republic of Iran Navy. The naval forces of the IRGCN and the IRIN combined consist of  around 49,000 personnel. [8] The Iranian military ranks 17th globally, with its  Navy classed 32nd among major fleets by “Global Firepower” in 2023.[9] Within the Iranian Armed Forces framework, both branches are accountable  to the Supreme Leader and Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Revolution,  Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, through the Armed Forces General Staff. In his  design, Khamenei regards the IRIN as Iran’s strategic navy, while the  IRGCN is seen as a tactical force (Group 2023). According to Joseph Nye’s  definition of Soft Power (Coutu 2008), the IRIN is an example of naval soft  power, while the IRGCN is considered hard power. These two branches  work together to promote Iran’s smart power at sea. As a result, Iranian  naval strategists have adopted a mixed approach, combining conventional  naval strength with hybrid warfare tactics.[10] The IRIN represents  conventional naval power in this sea display, while the IRGCN plays a role  in asymmetric warfare. Iran’s two navies operated separately before 2007,  stationed along the north and south coasts. After implementing a naval  strategy, each navy was assigned specific operational areas. The IRGCN defends the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz, while the IRIN offers  support and conducts diplomacy. 

IRIN’s History

Iran established the Imperial Iranian Navy (IIN) in  1932 with two ships from Great Britain and Germany. During the 1960s,  Iran acquired more ships from the United States and Great Britain and aimed  to replace the British as the guarantor of security in the Persian Gulf. By  1972, the IIN had expanded to the Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean and  had acquired destroyers, missile corvettes, patrol boats, hovercraft, and  naval helicopters from various countries. The navy proliferated, reaching  28,000 personnel in 1978.[11] After the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979,  the IIN was changed to the IRIN and used as the foundation for creating the  Revolutionary Guards Navy.  IRGCN’s History. During the Iran-Iraq war in 1981, the unofficial  Navy unit of IRGC was established. This unit was based in the Khor Musa  area and gradually took over all Iran’s military operations. The unit was  supervised by two naval camps, Noah and Masoudiyeh, and coordinated all  naval operations at the “DS” camp [naval camp], later renamed Noah Nabi  camp, located in Bushehr. In 1985, the IRGC Navy force was officially  formed under the command of Hossein Alaei. Now, the IRGCN operates  across 1200 km of sea border in five areas: navigation, missile, ranger, air sea defense, and drone.[12]

Iranian Navy’s Deterring Tactics  

In 2006, Qasem Soleimani, the Revolutionary Guards Quds Force  commander, credited Hezbollah’s success against Israel to their  unconventional naval warfare.[13] They attacked an Israeli warship at sea  using an Iranian anti-ship missile supplied through the Quds Force, catching  Israel off guard and causing an intelligence surprise.[14] This made Iran realize the strategic importance of sea-based asymmetric warfare. Since then, Iran  is developing a naval strategy based on asymmetric deterrence especially in  southern sea due to tensions with Washington since 2016.

Implementing Asymmetric Warfare Tactics 

Iran’s IRGCN aims to exploit its enemy’s weaknesses and use its  capabilities to succeed in asymmetric warfare.[15] Asymmetric warfare  maximizes IRGCN’s survival chance at sea. Thus, the historical lesson from  the seventeenth century shows that the “fleet-in-being” strategy allowed weaker navies to challenge stronger ones at sea. [16] Over the past four  decades, Iran has constructed its identity as a nation around opposition to  the United States, locking it into a protracted geopolitical conflict with  Washington.[17] Khamenei has determined that America is the main threat to  the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the country’s southeastern coast is  considered the most critical counterpoint to the military threats.[18] Iran has developed its naval capacity through land, missile, and drone forces. It uses various tactics in asymmetric warfare, such as suicide boats, guided  missiles, attack drones, naval mines, and secret missile bases.

In August 2023, the IRGCN showcased their latest vessels equipped  with 600 km missiles during a military exercise in the Persian Gulf. The  event included a sea parade with participation from various rocket  launchers, helicopters, and unmanned aerial vehicles for intelligence  gathering.[19]  

In January 2023, the IRGCN conducted an exercise in the Persian  Gulf. This exercise used various advanced naval technologies including sea  cruise missile systems, drones, and unmanned underwater vessels powered by AI subsurface satellites.[20] The unmanned fast boats are mainly used to  monitor enemy movements, fire small and medium-range weapons, launch  missiles, and carry out maritime suicide attacks. In April 2010, the IRGCN unveiled “Ya Mahdi,” a new radar evading vessel, during the “Great Prophet Five Exercise.” Sixty high-speed  ships and five indigenous cruise missiles targeted a hypothetical enemy  warship. [21]

Improving Iran’s Naval Capabilities 

According to one estimate, the Iranian naval fleet consists of 400  vessels, seven frigates, three corvettes, 34 submarines, 88 patrol ships, and  three mine countermeasures ships.[22] The Navy has been busy constructing  various projects such as missile launchers, warships, port facilities,  submarines, and support vessels.  

In August 2023 Iranian media stated that the IRGC Navy would receive a new generation of Ghadir and Fateh submarines armed with  torpedoes and surface-to-surface cruise missiles. The IRGC Naval Combat  Organization now has crewless and intelligent submarines, expanding their  sub-surface combat capabilities.[23] Iran’s submarine fleet includes Tariq,  Noah, Younis, Ghadir, Nahang, and Fatih. Tariq has anti-sonar devices and  can carry 18 torpedoes and 24 naval mines. Ghadir can launch torpedoes and  missiles, and detect hostile targets. Nahang deploys mines and has anti-ship  missile capabilities. Fatih launches and controls cruise missiles and has  torpedoes and marine mines.[24]

In July 2023, the Iranian navy received a new sea long-range cruise  missile with a range of over 1,000 kilometers called “Abu Mahdi” that is equipped with artificial intelligence to enhance its flight path design and  command and control system. This AI technology allows the missile to  navigate natural and artificial obstacles and bypass enemy radar and defense  sites from various launching directions. With a high-destructive power  warhead, Abu Mahdi” can successfully attack and destroy all types of ships,  frigates, and destroyers. Furthermore, it can be launched from mobile and  stationary carriers, and its navigation system can update the target’s position  during flight. Other features include fast reaction time, on-site target  selection, and shooting from a distance. Abu Mahdi can fly at low altitudes  and adjust its path and altitude based on geographical complications and  enemy defense systems, remaining undetected from the enemy’s radar.[25]

In August 2022, Iran’s new “Shahid Soleimani-class ship,” made by  the IRGC and Ministry of Defense, arrived in the Persian Gulf with vertical  launch silos for defense and anti-ship missiles.[26] The 65-meter-long Shahid  Soleimani is a missile corvette that can carry up to three boats and provides  protection for high-speed armed boats. It has similar capabilities to Taiwan’s  Tuo Chiang-class corvette, using hit-and-run tactics.[27]

Using Naval Proxy Forces 

Officials and observers say Iran is now passing on that naval  expertise to allied military forces. [28] The United States military must prepare  for a potential strategy involving an Iranian proxy fleet. [29] Iran has formed a  navy comprised of proxies who share their Shiite political and religious beliefs. This strategy has allowed them to gain influence in Arab  communities like Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen. Iran has also enlisted non state actors and official military institutions to create maritime proxies in  Iraq. In 2016, the IRGC established its Shiite armed militias as an official  force in Iraq. They were organized under a council known as Al-Hashd al Shaabi, or Popular Mobilization Force (PMF). Since 2018, the PMF has  created a naval force consisting of special troops, fast combat vessels  (Zwalfiqar), and small and medium-sized vessels. [30] These naval militia members are trained to attack naval targets and use missiles against ships  stationed at sea. Iran intends for this force to find a spot at the water border  between Iraq and Kuwait in the Persian Gulf. [31]

In 2022, reports suggest that Iran’s Quds Force has created a new  naval militia, hiring mercenaries from Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and  Africa. This group is reportedly trained and equipped to attack ships and  maritime targets beyond Iran’s borders. [32]

Building Regional and Global  Naval Alliances 

Iran is expanding ports and enhancing IRIN vessels to improve  maritime relations with Gulf Arab nations, Pakistan, India, South Africa,  Latin America, Russia, and China. These relations are driven by trade,  security, and conflict with US dominance.  

  • Iran’s navy has built a new port, Makran, and expanded its  operations in the Indian Ocean. Its previous area of operation  covered the Persian Gulf and Sea of Oman, but now covers 800000  square Miles. The navy conducts diverse operations such as  maritime diplomacy, relief, policing, and military actions.[33]
  • Iranian warships Makran and Dena entered the Pacific Ocean for the  first time in history, staying in Brazil until March 4, 2023. Their presence in the Panama Canal strengthens Iran’s deterrence and  ability to remain in the area, with capabilities including surveillance  and suicide drones, airborne missiles, and naval destruction squads. 
  • Iran has implemented the doctrine of irregular warfare in its navy,  which has caught the attention of Russia and China. Since 2019,  these three nations have conducted three joint naval exercises. Iran  has taken Russia and China to the Persian Gulf, China has taken Russia and Iran to the Atlantic Ocean, and Russia has brought China  and Iran to the northern Baltic Sea. It is worth noting that China and  Russia are two of the world’s five major players, while Iran is one  of the ten Axis countries. 
  • Recently Iran has been working to strengthen its maritime  relationships with African and Latin American countries, India (Alalam 2023), and Pakistan [34]
  • Iran is building a naval alliance with Arab states in the Persian Gulf,  Strait of Hormuz, and the Arabian Sea, including Saudi Arabia, the  UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Iraq. [35] China is suspected to be involved  in overseeing this initiative. [36]

Outlook 

In the Middle East, an Iranian conductor leads a naval orchestra,  using conventional power as a background to their asymmetrical warfare  notes that aim to deter the US Navy. However, the inconsistent tones of the  tools that make up the tactical package allow the United States to take  advantage of weaknesses in Iran’s naval strategy. Iran is strengthening its navy, consolidating its forces under a single command, and using  asymmetric warfare, diplomatic networks, and maritime proxy groups. The  country aims to improve its equipment and vessels. However, these actions  could also make them vulnerable to US exploitation.

A report released by the Office of Naval Intelligence in 2009  revealed that Iran’s naval strategy consists of The Moral Component and  Political Victory. The Moral Component focuses on the military’s loyalty to  the country’s religious regime, promoting resilience, jihad, and martyrdom.  The Political Victory component uses different tactics to persuade the  enemy’s political leaders that their objectives are unattainable or too costly. 

Fast forward fourteen years, and Iran has lost both vital components of its defense strategy. 

The Iranian regime struggles to achieve success within its own  country. Despite its attempts to secure military victories, the lack of progress  in political, economic, and social areas has made it difficult to maintain  support from the population. Recent mass demonstrations and lower voter  turnout in general elections indicate that relying on political victories and  public support is no longer a viable defensive strategy for the Iranian regime.  

The situation has escalated to the point where most people are  protesting against the government, and the government itself is in a state of  “revolution” against the majority. Government employees and university  professors, such as Revolutionary Guards Commander Hossein Alaei (the  first commander of the IRGCN), have been removed from their positions.  Alaei suggests that Iran should engage in direct talks with the United States.  These views contrast starkly with the actions of the current Iranian  government. Iran’s government lost its moral superiority after the Arab  Spring and the battle with ISIS. The Revolutionary Guards struggle to  encourage people to fight Sunni jihadist groups without relying on the call to jihad and martyrdom. To combat ISIS outside Iran, the Quds Force was  sent, while the Basij forces armed Afghan and Pakistani workers due to job  shortages. 

Iran’s weakened internal structure has impacted its ability to  mobilize proxy groups overseas. The arrival of 3,000 US marines in the  Arabian Gulf presents an opportunity for Gulf Arab nations to remove  Iranian influence and ensure safety. The Combined Task Force (CTF)  should become a regional naval force to mitigate threats and prevent a  potential coalition between Iran, Russia, China, and select Arab countries. It is time for the United States to consider  building an Arab naval alliance in the Persian Gulf

Orbis
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