Episode 11 | Managing Uncertainty in the Second Nuclear Century

ep 11 ft

In this episode of Shifting Ground, host Lawrence Rubin and guest editor Rachel Whitlark are joined by Dr. Amy Nelson, Director of the Future Security Scenarios Lab at New America .

Drawing from Dr. Nelson’s recent commentary featured in the Orbis special issue on Challenges in the Second Nuclear Century, the conversation explores the concept of “phantom signaling,” the role of intelligence and evidentiary support in maintaining nuclear credibility, and how states manage ambiguity as traditional arms control frameworks recede.

Dr. Nelson also shares insights from her book, The Arms Control Paradox: Managing Uncertainty in an Insecure World, examining how high uncertainty both necessitates and hinders nuclear negotiations, and introduces the forward-looking methodology behind the Future Security Scenarios Lab at New America .

⁠Phantom Signaling: The Waning of American Nuclear Credibility⁠

Challenges of the Second Nuclear Century

Orbis
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